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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessUSD/ZAR: Rising CPI Unlikely to Impact Accommodative SARB Policy
- USD/ZAR trades lower at the start of the session, exerting pressure on the 14.00 level once again aided by early USD selling.
- While phase 2 of the vaccines rollout has begun, it has predictably been slower than expected in its early days.
- However, the health department is looking to expand its rollout capacity substantially next week, which will be key in gauging whether the ambitious vaccination targets can be met.
- Core focus today is on local CPI, Retail sales and the FOMC minutes.
- CPI is expected to notch up, but remain below the midpoint of the range – adding no threat to the SARB's "extremely accommodative" policy stance.
- Although unexpected, a higher print above the 4.5% y/y level (SARB range midpoint) would likely see a more hawkish market reaction as potential rate hike expectations are brought forward.
- However, with the balance of risks to inflation mostly to the downside, the more likely scenario is a flat print in line with expectations or marginally lower.
- Intraday Sup1: 13.9844, Sup2: 13.952, Res1: 14.0768, Res2: 14.1536
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.