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CANADA: USDCAD Pulls Lower With No Clear Drivers

CANADA
  • USDCAD has seen a reasonable pull back from earlier session highs of 1.4420 to 1.4369 over almost two hours and to fully unwind the push higher seen after the FT reported US Tsy Sec Bessent is pushing for new universal tariffs on US imports to start at 2.5% and rise gradually. It's since lifted ~15 pips quickly.
  • The push lower stands out considering a step lower in US equity futures (and saw CAD briefly as joint top performer on the day along with the USD) but it’s still small compared to some of the swings seen since President Trump’s inauguration.
  • Key directional triggers remain resistance at 1.4516 (Jan 21 high) and support at 1.4261 (Jan 20 low).
  • Earlier today, the Globe & Mail reported Ottawa is planning pandemic-level relief for workers and businesses if Trump imposes tariffs.
  • Tomorrow sees the BoC decision: https://media.marketnews.com/BOC_Preview_Jan2025_f128d669a0.pdf with the FOMC decision later on: https://media.marketnews.com/Fed_Prev_Jan2025_With_Analysts_c155c1a3c6.pdf
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Source: Bloomberg
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  • USDCAD has seen a reasonable pull back from earlier session highs of 1.4420 to 1.4369 over almost two hours and to fully unwind the push higher seen after the FT reported US Tsy Sec Bessent is pushing for new universal tariffs on US imports to start at 2.5% and rise gradually. It's since lifted ~15 pips quickly.
  • The push lower stands out considering a step lower in US equity futures (and saw CAD briefly as joint top performer on the day along with the USD) but it’s still small compared to some of the swings seen since President Trump’s inauguration.
  • Key directional triggers remain resistance at 1.4516 (Jan 21 high) and support at 1.4261 (Jan 20 low).
  • Earlier today, the Globe & Mail reported Ottawa is planning pandemic-level relief for workers and businesses if Trump imposes tariffs.
  • Tomorrow sees the BoC decision: https://media.marketnews.com/BOC_Preview_Jan2025_f128d669a0.pdf with the FOMC decision later on: https://media.marketnews.com/Fed_Prev_Jan2025_With_Analysts_c155c1a3c6.pdf
image
Source: Bloomberg