January 07, 2025 23:44 GMT
KRW: USD/KRW Spot Supported Sub 20-day EMA, Local Equities May See Weakness
KRW
The spot USD/KRW pull back got to around 1445 late on Tuesday. The pair rebounded to 1458.5 post better US data outcomes and higher yields, before closing Tuesday trade just under 1452. This was still a won gain of 0.60%, following Monday's 0.70% rise. The won outperformed broader USD index trends for Tuesday, with the DXY up 0.40%.
- The USD/KRW spot RSI (14) is back sub oversold conditions, last near 58.5. We did recover back above the 20-day EMA support level though, which is around 1448.31, based off Tuesday's close.
- We have already had data on the goods and current account balance for Nov. The goods balance rose, but the current account eased, although both metrics remained above $9bn in surplus territory. This data is not a sentiment shifter for KRW though.
- The main opposition party leader, Lee Jae-myung, will reportedly meet with the BoK and MinFin to discuss the FX market (per BBG).
- Samsung Electronics Q4 earnings have just crossed, coming in below market expectations.
- In addition, the tech side for the Kospi is weaker from offshore, given higher US yields on Tuesday drove weaker sentiment. The SOX fell 1.84%, while the MSCI IT lost 2.16%. Yesterday, the Kospi closed under 2500, while offshore investors added $105.2mn to local shares.
- An arrest warrant for impeached President Yoon has also been extended.
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