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USDMXN Bears Still In Charge, Banxico Survey Due Friday

MEXICO
  • USDMXN has retreated a further half a percent on Wednesday and has delivered a fresh cycle low. The trend remains lower and today’s resumption of the downtrend, together with the recent breach of 20.00, reinforces this condition.
    • The Sep 13, 2021 low at 19.8486 has briefly been tested, a sustained break of which may target the June ’21 lows at 19.5987. Resistance to watch remains far out at 20.4125, the 20-day EMA.
  • Remittances data is due Friday, alongside the latest Banxico survey of economists.
  • Latest headlines: Mexico's Financial Stability Council updates balance risks:
    • Mexico weak consumption, local investment persists (BBG)
    • Pemex risk mitigated via govt. measures, oil prices (BBG)
    • Mexico financial system shows resilience (BBG)
    • Fitch Ratings: High Oil Prices Benefit Mexico’s PEMEX but Pose Budget Risks

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