January 21, 2025 02:12 GMT
MYR: USD/MYR Lower, But Volatile As Trump Tariff Headlines Drive USD Swings
MYR
USD/MYR opened lower, getting to 4.4525, before rebounding. These early gains reflected optimism around no early tariff action from the returning Trump administration. However, the pair sits back around 4.4750 in latest dealings (still around 0.40% stronger in ringgit terms). The USD recovery followed further trump headlines around potential 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, which could enacted on Feb 1.
- The Ringgit has breached the 20-day EMA of 4.4894 and the 200-day EMA of 4.4933 with next key technical support at the 50-day EMA of 4.4615.
- Bloomberg Asia dollar spot index is down by -0.01% and the Bloomberg Dollar spot index is up by +0.43%.
- USD/MYR one-month implied volatility is up at 6.4150% from yesterdays close of 6.3350%
- Malaysia's 10-year bond yield is at 3.824%
- Malaysia 5 yr USD CDS at 47bp (yesterday’s close 47bp, 5-year low 32bp in 2020).
Headlines
- The European Union and Malaysia are commencing new negotiations on a free trade agreement, Commission President Ursula von der Leyen says in a statement. (source: BBG).
- US President-elect Donald Trump’s policies risk stunting global growth and weakening demand for Malaysian chips, according to Malaysia’s Investment, Trade and Industry Minister Zafrul Aziz. (source: BBG)
Economic Data This Week:
- CPI YoY 22 Jan.
- Foreign Reserves 22 Jan.
- BNM Overnight Policy Rates (no change expected)
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