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Varied employment Friday............>

US DATA PREVIEW
US DATA PREVIEW: Varied employment Friday estimates:
- Morgan Stanley: "look for another strong month of job gains in December, with
total nonfarm payrolls expected to increase by a net 210k (private +200k), the
unemployment rate to remain at 3.5%, and average hourly earnings to increase by
0.3%M (3.05%Y vs 3.24%Y prior)."
- RBS/NatWest: estimate +185k, near trend "which would also keep the 2019 pace
at 180,000 for the year as a whole (after a currently-reported 223,000 average
monthly job gains in 2018). Private sector hiring may have increased by around
175,000 in December, a pace also similar to recent trends."
- TD Securities: "see more downside than upside risk for payrolls in December
after an exaggerated surge in November (266K and around 220K excluding returning
strikers). Even our below-consensus 145K forecast implies a strong 189K average
for Q4. We are neutral relative to consensus on the unemployment rate and hourly
earnings."

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