MNI BRIEF: China Nov M1 Decline Narrows, M2 Slows

MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 13

MNI BRIEF: PBOC To Curb Any Yuan Overshot : PBOC Zou

CHINA YTD NEW LOANS CNY17.1 TRLN VS MEDIAN CNY17.5 TRLN: PBOC

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY14.2 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Higher At 7.1876 Fri; -1.22% Y/Y

MNI: EUROZONE OCT IP +0% M/M, -1.2% Y/Y

MNI: SPAIN NOV HICP +0% M/M, +2.4% Y/Y

MNI: FRANCE NOV HICP -0.1% M/M, +1.7% Y/Y

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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Vice President Novak Prepares To Take Office On March 10

HUNGARY
  • While the general elections are scheduled to be held on April 3rd 2022 to elect the National Assembly, Hungary will hold an indirect presidential election on March 10.
  • Due to term limits, the incumbent President Janos Ader is ineligible to run (Ader has served as President of Hungary since May 10 2012).
  • Ador successor is very likely to be current Vice President of the Fidesz party Katalin Novák, whose (future) nomination was announced in December 2021.
    • As the current ruling party Fidesz enjoys a two-third majority at the National Assembly, it seems safe to say that Novak will be the next President even if the united opposition wins the legislative elections.
  • We recently showed that Orban’s party Fidesz currently leads the united opposition by 4 ppt (49% vs. 44%, source: Politico), but the election is still expected to be the ‘tightest’ since Orban took office.
  • The current government main commitment is to support families with children and help young people enter the labor market.
  • There's expected to be relatively little market impact from the change in office, with focus still resting on the results of the General Election at the beginning of April.
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