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VIEW: ANZ notes that "the unemployment rate....>

RBNZ
RBNZ: VIEW: ANZ notes that "the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% in the September
quarter, in line with ANZ's forecast but a touch higher than the market
expected. Employment was up a soft 0.2% q/q, with annual growth falling to 0.9%
y/y from 1.4%. Private sector wages lifted 0.6% q/q, in line with market
expectations, resulting in a tick-up in annual growth to 2.3% y/y. Public sector
wages surged on the back of collective agreements. The Q3 labour market print is
unlikely to be a game-changer for the MPS decision next week, as the labour
market data generally lags broader economic activity. But softer economic
momentum looks set to persist at least until the end of the year. We continue to
expect an OCR of 0.25% by mid-2020 (with cuts in November, February, and May)."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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