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VIEW: Bank of America Research suggest that....>

EGBS
EGBS: VIEW: Bank of America Research suggest that "markets are likely to greet
the (EuCo) deal with some relief given that the key political signals remain
intact. However, positioning is already long and spreads are, now, not far off
their 2019/2020 tights. As such longs in the periphery increasingly will need to
be justified via carry, rather than spread compression and capital gain
expectations. This makes volatility the main risk. Fundamentally, the macro
risks remain very large and the economic shock significant enough to leave
domestic politics in the periphery as a source of risk. Technically, we worry
about profit taking post agreement during summer illiquidity. Finally, the
periphery remains vulnerable to renewed virus outbreaks due to their unique
exposure to tourism and the attempt to restart the summer travel season. We
therefore continue to see value in low carry cost hedges such as Bund-ASW,
BTPei-Bund barbells and BTP flatteners."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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