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View Change: Svenska Handelsbanken now expects a 75bp September hike

RIKSBANK
  • "The July CPI report shows the gap between underlying inflation signals and the Riksbank's forecasts widening further. We judge that this forecast error and, first and foremost, the current inflation outlook and risks will make the Riksbank tighten policy faster than it has so far communicated."
  • "We raise our forecast for the Riksbank’s policy rate, by changing our call ahead of the September monetary policy meeting to a 75 bp rate hike, from 50 bp previously. For the time being, we stick to our calls for 50 bp and 25 bp hikes in November and February, respectively, citing the high interest rate sensitivity of the Swedish economy."
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  • "The July CPI report shows the gap between underlying inflation signals and the Riksbank's forecasts widening further. We judge that this forecast error and, first and foremost, the current inflation outlook and risks will make the Riksbank tighten policy faster than it has so far communicated."
  • "We raise our forecast for the Riksbank’s policy rate, by changing our call ahead of the September monetary policy meeting to a 75 bp rate hike, from 50 bp previously. For the time being, we stick to our calls for 50 bp and 25 bp hikes in November and February, respectively, citing the high interest rate sensitivity of the Swedish economy."