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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessView change: UBS looks for 25bp at each meeting this year; 50bp risk in Aug
- “Given the MPC's relatively resilient assessment of underlying activity and the labour market with rising concerns of more persistent inflationary pressures, we now expect the MPC to continue hiking until the end of the year.”
- Expect 25bp hikes at each meeting to 2.25% “which we would expect to be the terminal rate in this cycle.”
- UBS had previously expected one more 25bp hike in August with the terminal rate at 1.50%.
- “If inflation (22 June; 20 July) and labour market data (19 July) were to show signs of more persistent inflationary pressure, the risk of a 50bps hike in August would rise significantly.”
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.