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/VIEW: Desk views after the............>

TURKISH LIRA
TURKISH LIRA: /VIEW: Desk views after the emergency 300bp late liquidity window
rate hike from the CBRT
Barclays: Ultimately, what markets really need is more coherent policy guidance
from the government to address economic overheating, and a clear and credible
macro framework to reduce policy uncertainty concerns. If this does not occur,
the market may re-price risks of a change in policy stance amid a potential hard
landing into 2019, given the March 2019 local elections.
CITI: Client flows seemed less sure. Reaction was more muted than one would
expect, showing just a slight bias to sell USDTRY.
GOLDMAN: Stabilisation will require the market to believe that the economy will
be allowed to slow down to re-anchor inflation and inflation expectations.
Hence, the effectiveness of today's rate hike will depend on supportive
communication on fiscal policy.
TD: Credibility issues will continue to negatively weigh on TRY. For the time
being, we think USDTRY will settle at around 4.40/4.50, a level that we would
have defined as extreme weakness only three weeks ago.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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