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VIEW: KiwiBank notes that "the RBNZ's..........>

RBNZ
RBNZ: VIEW: KiwiBank notes that "the RBNZ's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
delivered what was widely expected. The OCR was unchanged 1.0% and the
accompanying statement maintained that further policy stimulus might be needed.
The RBNZ is in wait and watch mode, after delivering an outsized 50bp cut in
August. The one-page statement and summary record of meeting made it clear that
developments haven't changed substantially from the August MPS. And in the
August MPS the RBNZ's forecasts pointed to a decent 40% chance of more action.
The MPC stated that it is pleased how financial conditions have evolved
following August's cut. Financial conditions (through lower interest rates and a
lower currency) are supportive of growth. The currency is tracking well below
even the RBNZ's MPS forecast, and banks have been trying to outdo each other
with new record low mortgage rates. But what's important is how this translates
into real activity and inflation. Going by recent business and consumer
confidence data we will have to wait and see. Because we haven't seen anything
yet."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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