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VIEW: Monday saw Swedbank note that.........>

SCANDIS
SCANDIS: VIEW: Monday saw Swedbank note that expectations for a slow, non-linear
move lower in EUR/Scandies is reasonable in their view. However, they warn that
real & fast money a/c's are probably getting somewhat long Scandies, although
not to an extended level.
- Their new 3-month EUR/SEK target is SEK10.30, as they note that SEK's negative
carry is gone in TWI-terms, growth looks relatively better at the margin and
relative fiscal policy power is there. They also believe that EUR/SEK > SEK10.30
(all else equal) should be a level that does not stir up too much worry from the
Riksbank.
- They note that NOK is supported by a slowly improving dynamics in the oil
market & improvement in risk sentiment. They maintain their 3-month EUR/NOK
target at NOK10.70, but warn that macro numbers are "obviously expected to be
soft in Q2."
- All in all, they continue to see value in SEK and NOK vs. EUR in the coming
months, as well as against GBP & CAD.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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