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VIEW: Quick note re: RBA minutes. The Bank is...>

RBA
RBA: VIEW: Quick note re: RBA minutes. The Bank is clearly open to further
easing, if needed, to "support sustainable growth in the economy, full
employment and the achievement of the inflation target over time." But it is
worth highlighting that the Bank introduced several potential impediments to
rate cuts: 1) monetary policy is already expansionary 2) tax cuts are in play 3)
mining and housing sectors seemed to have reached turning points 4) the argument
that some monetary stimulus should be kept in reserve to address any future
negative shocks 5) the possibility that policy stimulus might be less effective
than past experience suggests 6) the housing market and other asset prices might
be overly inflated by lower interest rates. The Bank decided that these factors
did not outweigh the case for further easing of monetary policy in October.
- The Bank may be attempting to "front up" any public dissent re: previous
cuts/future cuts & show that it has assessed various key issues along the way.
- Ultimately, the Bank is open to further easing, and likely believes that the
benefits of any such moves outweigh the previously outlined impediments.
Incoming data & global central bank policy will be key.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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