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(Volatile) Prices Paid And Employment Lead ISM Services Miss

US DATA
  • ISM services see a small miss in Feb at 52.6 (cons 53.0) after 53.4.
  • More notable misses for prices paid 58.6 (cons 62.0) after 64.0 and employment 48.0 (cons 51.4) after 50.5.
  • Beat for new orders at 56.1 (cons 54.4) after 55.0, for highest since August.
  • Prices paid comes after a particularly volatile period, leaving it down -5.4pts after a surprise 7.3pt surge in Jan. The 58.6, whilst a miss, is still above the 57.9 averaged through 2H23.
  • Employment has also been volatile recently, a -2.5pt drop coming after 7pt offsetting swings in Dec and Jan. It’s still a low reading ahead of Friday’s payrolls though, down vs the 50.4 averaged in 2H23 (and prior to the 43.8 in Dec it’s the lowest since Aug’20).

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