April 30, 2024 08:39 GMT
Volkswagen (A3/BBB+): 1Q24 Results
CONSUMER CYCLICALS
Marginally negative for spreads. A weak quarter as flagged by management. The market will likely give the benefit of the doubt with the path to confirmed FY targets still credible, but not without execution risks.
• Revenue beat by 1%, while adj. EBIT missed by 5%. Margin at 6.1% is well below 7-7.5% FY forecast. Car division was particularly weak with continued supply issues at Audi and ramp down ahead of new product launches.
• NCF swung negative at -€3bn; somewhat expected with a WC reversal from a release in Q4. €6bn of inventory buildup there ahead of launches.
• Automotive net liquidity decreased to €37.2bn from €40.3bn as a result.
• Outlook for 2024 confirmed.
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