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Volvo Cars; Cutting Ties With PoleStar A Credit Positive, Curve Unmoved

CONSUMER CYCLICALS

Volvo Cars (VOLCARB SS) results were out earlier; equity +22% but cash curve unchanged, wider YTD and at a significant premium to Stellantis.


  • Volvo Cars (not to be confused with five-times-larger Volvo AB that makes commercial vehicles) results were broadly in line but mgmt’s comments about potentially stopping funding loss-making Polestar (its EV sister firm) have sent equity flying.
  • This would appear to be a good credit positive but the curve is still wider YTD. Volvo’s most liquid ’25 line (VOVCAB 2 01/24/25) is volatile but appears to be trading towards the top of its recent (since Nov-23) range and at a major premium to Stellantis (which is better rated). It did trade close to Stellantis’ level late last year.
  • The Polestar news is not concrete but this would be a credit positive, in our view.

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