Voters Turn Away From Main Parties - Newspoll

The July 16 Newspoll is showing that the incumbent Labor Party (ALP) has its lowest primary vote since the May 2022 election but on a two-party preferred basis moved in its favour, as reported by The Australian. Support for smaller parties rose at the expense of the two major parties.

• Support for the ALP fell 2pp to 36%, which is still above its 32.6% 2022 election result. The opposition Coalition fell 1pp to 34pp. Smaller parties and independents saw a 3pp rise in voter backing with Greens +1pp to 12%, One Nation +1pp to 7% and others/independents +1pp to 11%.
• The 2-part preferred breakdown rose in the ALP’s favour to 55:45 from 54:46.
• PM Albanese remains the preferred PM with his support rising 2pp to 54% and opposition leader Dutton’s declining 3pp to 29%.
• Some have speculated that PM Albanese’s future is linked to the outcome of the Voice referendum likely in October. Currently 41% of those surveyed in the July 16 Newspoll say they will vote Yes and 48% No as support continues to trend lower. To change the constitution a majority of people in a majority of state need to vote yes.