March 12, 2024 12:23 GMT
Wage Committee Leaves Inflation Forecast Unchanged
NORWAY
The Norwegian Technical Calculation Committee for the income settlements (TBU) left their 2024 CPI and CPI-ATE forecasts unchanged compared to the preliminary report from mid-February.
- Average 2024 CPI is seen at 4.1% while the average CPI-ATE is expected at 4.4%.
- In the December MPR, the Norges Bank forecasted 2024 CPI at 4.4% and CPI-ATE at 4.8%. However, these projections will be updated at next Thursday's meeting/monetary policy report.
- TBU's forecast for average 2023 inflation (released in March last year) was for CPI at 4.9% and CPI-ATE at 5.3%. The actual figures were 5.5% for CPI and 6.2% for CPI-ATE.
- The inflation forecast will be used as a basis for 2024 wage settlements, for which negotiatons begin this Friday (15 March) .
- Norges Bank's December MPR saw annual wage growth at 5.0%, though analysts at SEB have noted downside risks to this projection.
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