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Walmart  Earnings Miss Underlines Macro Inflation Risks

US OUTLOOK/OPINION

US retail giant Walmart posted a major Q1 quarterly earnings miss today - and inflation was a key factor.

  • Despite better-than-expected revenue ($138.31B vs $131.95B est), earnings came in below 12.2% below estimates (EPS $1.30 vs $1.48 est). Per CNBC's Robert Humm, that was by far Walmart's biggest miss vs consensus since at least 1992.
  • The company's CEO said in the release that inflation pressured margins more than expected, especially in food and fuel costs: "bottom line results were unexpected and reflect the unusual environment".
  • Two tentative macro conclusions from this: first, the 7% drop in the stock pre-market on the earnings suggests that inflation risks to earnings may not yet be fully priced into equity markets.
  • Second, insofar as Walmart is a bellwether for the economy and consumer spending, their newly revised upward full-year sales outlook but decrease in profit estimates suggests that rising revenues are mainly a function of inflation and not robust consumer demand.

Source: Walmart


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