CORRECTED-MNI: Fed's Hammack-Near Or At Time To Slow Rate Cuts

MNI BRIEF: Fed's Goolsbee Sees Rates Fair Bit Lower In A Year

CANADA JOBLESS RATE +6.8% VS FORECAST +6.6%, PRIOR +6.5%

MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 6

MNI: PBOC Net Drains CNY288.1 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Lower At 7.1848 Fri; -1.64% Y/Y

MNI: UNIV OF MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT PRELIMINARY DEC INDEX 74.0

CANADA NOV IVEY PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEX 52.3 SA

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: Austria, UK Auction on Tuesday

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

© 1982-2024 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

Week Ahead (1/2)

UK
  • Any definitive data on the Omicron variant of Covid-19 will continue to be market moving but it looks increasingly likely that we will not have enough data for the MPC to feel comfortable to raise rates in December.
  • Governor Bailey last week gave little away on his views on the impact on monpol while when Mann was asked about the magnitude of the first hike she said that “its premature to even talk about timing” given the uncertainty of Omicron.
  • The most telling comments, however, were from Saunders. Recall that Saunders was the first MPC member to vote to end the QE programme early and was one of 2 MPC members to vote for a hike in November – so he is widely considered to be the most hawkish MPC member. Saunders would not be drawn on whether he would continue to vote for a hike in December – noting there were advantages to waiting to see more evidence on the public health outcomes but also noting that a delay to raising rates could be costly. However, ahead of the November meeting Saunders seemed much more certain that he would vote for a hike.
  • As we said last week, although we cannot place too much emphasis on interpreting one member’s comments and projecting to the rest of the MPC, if the most hawkish member of the MPC seems to not be sure whether he will vote for a hike anymore, it does seem to make it less likely that the median MPC member will vote for a hike.
HomepageBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.