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*** Well off first half lows by.....>

US TSYS SUMMARY
US TSYS SUMMARY: *** Well off first half lows by the close, curves hammered
w/long end outperforming (re: rate hike driver weighing on short end,
recession-implied inversion unlikely on strong global eco's.
After initial post data sale, futures have ground back to mildly lower O/N range
amid moderate two-way flow, position squaring ahead extended holiday weekend for
U.S. Equities held strong gains (emini +14.5 2784.0), Gold higher (XAU +16.61,
1338.98), oil firmer (WTI +0.62, 64.42).
- Rates sold off/choppy trade after Dec CPI 0.1% and Retail Sales +0.4% both as
expected. Cross-market note: Tsys ground off lows while Gilts slammed by over 40
ticks in wake of Bloomberg newswire story on Spain and Dutch seeking a soft
Brexit; Bunds higher after ECB Weidmann downplayed rate change risk, trends
in-line. Short end hammered, Mar rate hike chances near 90%, 2Y yld tapped
2.0201%, Sep 2008 highs.
- In addition to better selling, real$ rolling forward, fast$ reversing,
sporadic bids below, scale in flatteners in 5s30s, fast$ doing steepeners.
- Late ylds: 2Y 1.998%, 3Y 2.114%, 5Y 2.345%, 7Y 2.476%, 10Y 2.548%, 30Y 2.853%

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