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Free AccessWestpac note that "both 3yr and 10yr...>
AUSSIE BONDS: Westpac note that "both 3yr and 10yr swap EFPs continue to push to
new record inverse levels, with the main drivers being identified as the huge
amount of liquidity that has dampened BBSW and basis spreads in general, the
large and ongoing AOFM borrowing requirement, the strong message that the RBA
will keep rates on hold for years to come, the lack of pay-side appetite from
corporate liability managers, especially as a lot of hedging has been undertaken
already and there is not a large amount of older hedges rolling off near term.
In addition, there are still positive carry opportunities in holding swap
relative to bonds and that should keep receive-side flows as the more dominant
influence on swap spreads near term. The 1y2yr and 1y3y will get the main
benefit of these flows and that should keep the 3yr EFP from widening much,
outside of periodic profit-taking, in coming weeks."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.