MNI: US NOV FINAL MANUF PMI 49.7 (FLASH 48.8); OCT 48.5

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

MNI: UK NOV FINAL MANUF PMI 48.0 (FLASH 48.6); OCT 49.9

MNI NBP WATCH: Another Policy Hold, Dovish Communications Tilt

MNI: PBOC Net Drains CNY216 Bln via OMO Monday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Lower At 7.1865 Mon; -1.50% Y/Y

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: Spain, Belgium, ESM Auction on Tuesday

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: UK, Germany Auction on Tuesday

MNI: US OCT CONSTRUCT SPENDING +0.4%

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

MNI EXCLUSIVE: German Turmoil Dashes EU's Joint-Funding Hopes -Officials

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What to Watch:

MARKET INSIGHT

Markets maintain focus on any Russia/Ukraine developments on an otherwise calm end to a hectic week: limited data, some Fed speak, no Fed buy operations or Tsy auctions. March Tsy options expiring -- could provide some calm to lead quarterly futures as long as headline risk over Russia/Ukraine remains muted.

  • On data at 1000ET (prior, est):
    • Existing Home Sales (6.18M, 6.10M); MoM (-4.6%, -1.3%)
    • Leading Index (0.8%, 0.2%)
  • Fed Speaker lineup (StL Fed Bullard quiet after a busy week)
    • 1045ET Chicago Fed Evans, Fed Gov Waller, Booth policy forum, NY
    • 1100ET NY Fed Williams, eco outlook, w/ text/Q&A, NY City Univ
    • 1330ET Fed Gov Brainard, digital currency, Booth forum, text/Q&A
  • Geopolitical: After falling more than 2% Thu, SPX eminis bounced early overnight on reports US Sec of State Blinken will meet w/ Russian foreign minister Lavrov next week (providing Ukraine isn't invaded) in ongoing attempts to find diplomatic solution to tensions.
    • No time set: US Pres Biden To Hold Video Talks w/European Leaders Friday: AFP: AFP reporting that according to European sources, US President Joe Biden will hold video talks with European leaders on Friday to discuss the Ukraine crisis.
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