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What to Watch: Claims, Retail Sales, Fed Speak, Equity Earnings

MARKET INSIGHT

Rates trading steady to mixed, Bonds weaker with busy day for data ahead and early close (floor 1300ET, Globex still 1700ET); markets closed Friday for Easter holiday.

  • Data up at 0830ET:
    • Initial Jobless Claims (166k, 170k); Continuing Claims (1.523M, 1.500M)
    • Retail Sales Advance MoM (0.3%, 0.6%); Ex Auto MoM (0.2%, 1.0%)
    • Import Price Index MoM (1.40%, 2.30%); YoY (10.9%, 11.9%)
    • Export Price Index MoM (3.0%, 2.2%); YoY (16.6%, 16.2%)
    • Up at 1000ET Bizz Inv (1.1%, 1.3%), U. of Mich. Sentiment (59.4, 59.0).
  • Scheduled Fed speakers:
    • NY Fed Williams Bbg interview at 0845ET followed by Cleveland Fed Mester and Philly Fed Harker (1550ET and 1800ET resp).
  • Geopol risk: Russia will deploy nuclear arms to border if Sweden and Finland join NATO (Russia Security Council head Medvedev said).
  • Meanwhile -- equity earning pick up in earnest before equity open:
    • PNC, USB , WFC, GS, MS, Citi and State Street

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