Free Trial

What to Watch: Headline Jobs Data Focus Ahead Next Week's FOMC

US TSYS
  • Treasury futures trading weaker across the board, back near Thursday's lows in the leadup to the headline employment data for November at 0830ET.
  • Bloomberg consensus sees nonfarm payrolls growth of 186k (+45k-275k survey range) in November, up from the 150k in October owing to a 38k fewer striking workers meaning strike adjusted gains should trend lower. AHE is seen accelerating a tenth from the 0.2% M/M in October, but elsewhere consensus mostly looks for a consolidation of October’s softening.
  • Markets keen on the jobs data after this week's lower than expected JOLTS and ADP data rekindled early 2024 rate cut projections. Next week sees CPI on Tuesday, PPI Wednesday morning ahead of the FOMC policy announcement.
  • In the meantime, University of Michigan inflation expectations wraps up this week's data at 1000ET.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.