Free Trial

While correlation between ADP and...>

US DATA PREVIEW
US DATA PREVIEW: While correlation between ADP and NFP is limited at best,
today's weaker than exp ADP data (+67k vs. +140k est) has yet to spur any
changes to dealer ests' for Fri's Nov NFP (+128k prior vs. +190k est). 
- Wells Fargo is in-line with consensus est of +190k adding that "after adding
just 128K jobs in October, some improvement is expected in November." Conceding
that the 10Y job mkt expansion is "starting to show its age," a "faster pace of
job growth would offer some assurance to the Fed and the markets that the
economy really is in 'a good place' after all."
- SEB: Nov NFP will be supported "by return of GM strikers." SEB said "Oct.
payrolls were surprisingly resilient, despite a 36k loss of manufacturing jobs
due to the GM strike and upward revisions of 95k for previous" 2 reads.
- Nomura: estimate +160k jobs for Nov, also citing GM worker return. However,
this will be "offset to some extent by adverse weather conditions during the
November BLS establishment survey week that most likely dampened hiring activity
in construction and leisure & hospitality, two industries that have shown
sensitivity to temperature swings in recent years."

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
}); window.REBELMOUSE_ACTIVE_TASKS_QUEUE.push(function(){ window.dataLayer.push({ 'event' : 'logedout', 'loggedOut' : 'loggedOut' }); });