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WIG20 Index Struggles To Break Through Its 200DMA Resistance

POLAND
  • Polish equities have been under pressure in the past month amid rising uncertainty over the economic outlook and PLN weakness.
  • In addition to the downward revision in growth expectations, a range of macro risks have been weighing (and could continue to weigh) on the zloty: on-going dispute with the EU, daily fines and delay of EU pandemic aid, FX-loan settlements, rising LT interest rates….
  • WIG20 index broke below its 200DMA support in the end of November and found support slightly above the 2,103.50 level, which represents the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the 1,496.80 – 2,478.60 range.
  • The 200DMA level is now a resistance, and WIG20 index has struggled to break above that level in recent days.
  • Polish equities could remain vulnerable in the short term if the PLN starts to retrace lower in case NBP disappoints on Wednesday (lower than 75bps hike).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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