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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessWill Consensus Underestimate Core CPI Again?
Reminder ahead of the October CPI release (0830ET) that consensus has underestimated core CPI in 5 of the last 6 months (July's reading missed to the downside).
- The Cleveland Fed's core CPI % M/M nowcast has also missed in each of those months and in the same direction as consensus.
- But the nowcast has been at least as good as the BBG median over that period (and much closer to the mark for the Aug and Sep data). See chart.
Source:BBG, Cleveland Fed, MNI
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.