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Won Slips On Risk-Off Mood, Domestic Fiscal Matters Eyed

KRW

Risk sentiment remains the main driver of spot USD/KRW, with the rate sitting +2.45 figs at KRW1,198.20 amid lingering risk of further escalation in the Russia-Ukraine standoff. A clearance of Feb 11 high of KRW1,201.50 before targeting Jan 28 high of KRW1,207.25. On the flip side, losses past the 50-DMA at KRW1,192.55 would encourage bears to target the 100-DMA at KRW1,187.43.

  • USD/KRW 1-month NDF last +2.06 figs at KRW1,198.91. Bulls keep an eye on Jan 28 high of KRW1,214.39, with bears looking for a dip through the nearby 50-DMA at KRW1,195.01.
  • The ruling Democratic Party unilaterally passed the original KRW14tn extra budget bill on during a budget committee meeting amid a boycott from the main opposition People Power Party. The ruling party pledged to boost the supplementary spending plan by KRW3.5tn before putting it to a plenary vote (possibly as soon as today), with PPP standing by its call for a much larger KRW40tn extra budget.
  • South Korean data highlights this week include consumer confidence (Tuesday), Business Survey (Wednesday) & PPI (Thursday). The BoK will deliver its monetary policy decision on Thursday, with all analysts participating in Bloomberg survey expecting policymakers to stand pat.

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