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Won Trades Firmer After IP Data, South Korea Extends Social Distancing Rules

KRW

Spot USD/KRW re-opened on a softer footing following the release of the March industrial production report out of South Korea. The pair last trades at KRW1,107.85, marginally lower on the day.

  • South Korea's industrial output rose 4.7% Y/Y (BBG est. was +4.5%), but shrank 0.8% M/M (BBG est. was -0.5%).
  • Yonhap reported, citing acting PM Hong, that South Korea has extended the current social distancing measures by three weeks.
  • South Korea reached another milestone in its inoculation campaign as it vaccinated more than 3mn people yesterday. The authorities aim at achieving herd immunity by November.
  • White House spox Psaki said that South Korean Pres Moon will visit DC for talks with U.S. Pres Biden on May 21.
  • The latest poll by Embrain Public/Kstat Research/Korea Research/Hankook Research on support for presidential hopefuls saw Gyeonggi Province Gov Lee was leading ex-Prosecutor General Yoon, albeit only by 1pp. Pres Moon's approval rating was at 38%, with 56% of respondents expressing disapproval.
  • Looking ahead, South Korea's latest trade data hit the wires on Saturday. Next week, focus turns to Markit M'fing PMI (Monday), CPI (Tuesday) & BoP current account balance (Friday).
  • Vice FinMin Lee said April CPI, which is due next week, is expected to top 2% Y/Y owing to the base effect. Nonetheless, Lee said annual inflation shouldn't exceed the 2% target.
  • Bears need a fall through yesterday's low of KRW1,105.75, before taking aim at Feb 22 low of KRW1,103.40. Bulls look for a rebound above Apr 23 high of KRW1,120.80.

Fig. 1: South Korea Industrial Output Y/Y (%)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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