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WTI Clears 50-Day EMA Russia Production Cut Plans

COMMODITIES
  • Crude oil has gained strongly today, building on earlier comments from Novak that Russian may cut production by 500-700k bpd early next year as a result of western sanctions blunting demand for its crude.
  • Further, freezing weather has halted more than 1.6mbpd of Texas oil-refining capacity and forcing the two largest US refineries (Motiva Port Arthur and Marathon Galveston Bay) to stop producing until temperatures warm up.
  • WTI is +3.0% at $79.80, clearing resistance at the 50-day EMA and briefly $79.90 (Dec 22 high) to open key resistance at $83.27 (Dec 1 high).
  • Brent is +3.4% at $83.69, having earlier tested resistance at $83.85 (Dec 22 high), after which sees the 50-day EMA of $85.19.
  • Gold is +0.2% at $1795.78 with resistance remaining at the bull trigger of $1824.5 (Dec 13 high).
  • Weekly moves: WTI +7.4%, Brent +5.9%, Gold +0.15%, US Nat Gas -21.6%, EU TTF Nat Gas -28%

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