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WTI Option Skew Most Bearish Since Early September

OIL OPTIONS

WTI second month option skew is the most bearish since early September as economic driven demand concerns drag down crude futures and time spreads.

  • WTI front month yesterday fell to the lowest since the start of October and the prompt WTI time spread has fallen from around 1.3$/bbl in late October down to just above flat at 0.16$/bbl.
  • The WTI second month 25 delta skew has gradually fallen from a +1.5% skew to the call at the start of the month down to the current skew to the puts of around -3.4%.
  • Brent is following a similar trend with the put skew down to -2.6% and the prompt time spread down to 0.82$/bbl from around 1.9$/bbl at the start of the month.
  • ATM implied volatility at the front of the curve is holding between about 47.5% and 49%.


Source: Bloomberg

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