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TURKEY: Year-End Repo Rate Seen at 48.51% in Latest CBRT Survey

TURKEY

The CBRT published the latest survey of market participants, with estimates for the repo rate at the end of the year indicating that analysts see a rate cut at the Dec 26 meeting. That corroborates recent MNI Exclusives which point to a 250bp cut at next week’s meeting.

  • Year-end inflation estimate rises to 45.28% from 44.81%
  • Next 12-months inflation estimate fell to 27.07% from 27.2%
  • Next 24-months inflation estimate rose to 18.47% from 18.33%
  • One-week repo rate seen at 48.51% at year-end

Separately, the CBRT cut the remuneration rate for banks’ free FX reserves to 3.5% from 3.75% following the 25bp Fed cut on Wednesday. Lenders receive interest on free FX reserves they hold at the central bank. There are no other data releases scheduled for today.

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The CBRT published the latest survey of market participants, with estimates for the repo rate at the end of the year indicating that analysts see a rate cut at the Dec 26 meeting. That corroborates recent MNI Exclusives which point to a 250bp cut at next week’s meeting.

  • Year-end inflation estimate rises to 45.28% from 44.81%
  • Next 12-months inflation estimate fell to 27.07% from 27.2%
  • Next 24-months inflation estimate rose to 18.47% from 18.33%
  • One-week repo rate seen at 48.51% at year-end

Separately, the CBRT cut the remuneration rate for banks’ free FX reserves to 3.5% from 3.75% following the 25bp Fed cut on Wednesday. Lenders receive interest on free FX reserves they hold at the central bank. There are no other data releases scheduled for today.