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Yen Outperforming AUD & NZD Modestly, Data Outcomes Don't Shift Sentiment

FOREX

USD index levels are little changed in the first part of Thursday dealing. The BBDXY was last near 1243.45, unchanged for the session.

  • In the cross asset space US equity futures opened around 0.20% lower, which has helped yen at the margins on crosser (AUD and NZD lower), although we are away from worst levels for futures.
  • US cash Tsy yields are mixed in the first part of trade.
  • We have had quite a bit of data, but it hasn't shifted sentiment in the FX space. Japan retail sales were slightly firmer for Jan (+2.3% y/y, versus 2.0% forecast), but IP was weaker close to expectations (-1.5% y/y, -1.6% forecast). Comments from Kanda (the Vice Minister for International Affairs) around FX levels were consistent with recent rhetoric.
  • USD/PY sits near 150.55 in recent dealings slightly down from end NY levels on Thursday.
  • AUD/USD is a touch weaker last near 0.6490. Data out a little while ago showed Jan retrial sales slightly below expectations (+1.1% versus +1.5% expected), but there were positive revisions. Q4 Capex was firmer than forecast but not in terms of the component that feeds into GDP.
  • Earlier Australian Treasurer Chalmers warned of the challenging growth backdrop in Q4 (see this link).
  • NZD/USD is also slightly offered, last near 0.6090, slightly underperforming AUD. The ANZ Feb activity outlook rose to 29.5 from 25.6, but confidence eased back to 34.7 from 36.6.
  • The data calendar is now largely clear, but we do have BoJ speak coming up soon (Takata).

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