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Yield Curve Continues To Flatten as Uncertainty Prevails

POLAND
  • Investors will focus on July CPI print this week (July 30), expected to rise to 4.7% (from 4.4% the previous months).
  • Poland 10Y yield has been consolidating lower in the past two months as demand for safe assets (i.e. Gvt bonds) has been rising since the beginning of June.
  • Key support to watch stands at 1.46%, which corresponds to the 61.8% Fibo retracement of the 1.13% - 2% range and the 200DMA.
  • The yield curve continues to flatten as uncertainty keeps rising; 2Y10Y is down nearly 60bps in the past two months to 1.18%.
  • USDPLN continues to trend higher this morning, currently trading slightly above the 3.90 level; next resistance to watch on the topside stands at 3.98. On the downside, first support stands at 3.85, followed by 3.82.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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