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Yields Continue Trend Climb Higher

US EURODLR FUTURES
  • Eurodollars yields unwind an earlier tilt lower, potentially spillover on ECB uncertainty, to continue reversing a large part of Friday’s post-payrolls slide and reverting to their prior trend climb higher.
  • Yield increases are led by the red pack and beyond (EDZ3-U4 +8bps from Fri close) but also sizeable increases closer out, with EDZ2 +5bps and EDH3 +6bps moving nearer to recent highs.
  • The higher for longer theme has seen a more parallel shift higher over the past week, with relatively little change to the 35bps of cuts priced for 2023 after prior significant unwinding of cut expectations (and with the curve continuing its recent move of pricing larger cuts in 2024 than in 2023).

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