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Yields Maintain Post-NFP Drift

US TSYS SUMMARY
  • Treasury futures held inside a 5 tick range Monday, maintaining the post-payrolls pattern that'd initially driven 10y yields sharply lower.
  • The longer-end of the curve underperformed, with 30y, 20y yields rising near 2bps apiece, prompting some minor steepening, but recent ranges were wholly respected.
  • Markets await the next macro cues, which may emerge at Wednesday and Thursday's Bank of Canada & ECB decisions, with FOMC within the pre-rate decision media blackout period.
  • Headlines on Biden's flagship infrastructure package garnered some market focus, with the POTUS due to meet Capito later Monday or Tuesday as well as remaining open to negotiations with other GOP Senators including Mitt Romney. Fiscal stimulus headlines are expected to die down later in the week, as global leaders head to Cornwall, UK for the G7 meeting.
  • Tuesday sees the release of April trade balance, JOLTs job openings and the 3yr auction.
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