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Yields Slide On Continued Growth Fears

US EURODLR FUTURES
  • Eurodollars have rallied sizeably on the day despite a pullback in recent trading, led by the red pack gaining +0.11 as growth fears dominate.
  • Yields are seen peaking in EDZ2 at 3.665% (-2.5bps on the day) with ever growing inversion thereafter. EDZ2/EDZ3 now shows -68bps from yesterday’s close of -59.5bps, with largest cuts priced in mid-2023 with EDM3/EDM4 and EDM3/EDU3 both showing 20bp of cuts.
  • The continued inversion into 2024 sees yields tough around 2.75% before starting to rise again in mid-2025.
  • See charts below for curves relative to after past FOMC meetings and a time series of calendar spreads.

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