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YtD Highs Cap Any Rallies In USD/CNH, Easing Remains In Focus

CNH

No meaningful reaction in USD/CNH after the U.S. flags an impending international trip for U.S. Secretary of State Blinken (16-21 June) which will include stops in the UK and China. Blinken’s trip to China had been well telegraphed and isn’t expected to generate a meaningful stepdown in the well-documented areas of Sino-U.S. tension (although it is an incremental positive after the cancellation of a Blinken’s previously planned trip earlier this year).

  • USD/CNH remains in the well-defined uptrend channel (on a closing basis), with the upper boundary of that channel coming in at CNH7.1777 today. Beyond there, yesterday’s YtD high (7.1789) has capped the rate on rallies today, with the cross last showing at CNH7.1685.
  • The ultimate scope of the seemingly impending fresh Chinese easing campaign continues to dominate when it comes to focus surrounding the world’s second largest economy, as policymakers look to extend/solidify the post-COVID economic rebound after a worrying run of economic data in recent weeks.

Fig. 1: USD/CNH

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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