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US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (Z18) Downtrend Yet To Take Hold
*RES 3: 119-08 100-dma
*RES 2: 119-00 Sep 28 high
*RES 1: 118-16+ Oct 1 low
*PRICE: 118-03+ @ 16:36 GMT, Oct 18
*SUP 1: 117-13+ Low Oct 8
*SUP 2: 116-30 Bear channel bottom (continuation chart)
*SUP 3: 116-20 Breakout target from triangle pattern (continuation chart)
Post-FOMC minutes, the 118 handle proved insufficient support, allowing prices
to slip back to the middle of last week's range before a late recovery Thursday.
As a result Treasuries are yet to firmly resume the recent downtrend, a
requirement for the focus to return to the Oct 8 low at 117-13+. Below here
brings the bear channel bottom at 116-30 into play. Bulls need a break of the
21-dma, now at 118-09, to shift the short-term outlook more positive, opening
the Sep 28 high at 119-00. Above here would mark a significant improvement in
the longer-term outlook.