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ZAR Continues to Outperform vs G10 FX as SARB Meeting Looms

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades +0.03% higher this morning, with a buoyant USD driving the turn higher.
  • The cross continued to march lower yesterday, falling -0.37% and marking and intraday low of 14.7368.
  • Today’s focus will be on the SARB meeting with the MPC expected to deliver a +25bp hike and look through exogenous energy price factors.
  • FY22 inflation forecasts are expected to be raised towards 5.7-6.2%, alongside the possibility of marginal downside revisions to growth.
  • Implied market pricing has moderated closer to the consensus (+28.3bp), reducing the likelihood of a significant post-decision move in ZAR.
  • Momentum remans bearish in the cross with 14.6539 & 14.5639 the next notable downside supports.
  • ZAR also continues to outperform vs GBP & EUR – with GBP/ZAR eyeing the July 2021 lows at 19.00.
  • Intraday Sup1: 14.7368, Sup2: 14.6539, Res1: 14.8133, Res2: 14.8538
  • GBPZAR


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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