Free Trial

ZAR Eyes GDP & Political Risks As Ramaphosa Turns The Screws On Magashule

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR pares some of yesterday's move lower to retest the 15.21 breakout. Downside towards 15.00 still being met with profit-taking.
  • Focus today remains on 3QGDP expected to print between 52%-65% QoQ SAAR, off an extremely low base.
  • Sell side now estimating lower FY20 growth projections between -6.5% to -7.5%. A print above 60% should buoy ZAR assets.
  • Local political risks surrounding the step aside rule should be monitored closely as the bias seems to be towards him stepping down (which would be received positively by locals).
  • However, this process may drag on longer than expected.
  • A move below yesterday's low at 15.10 should see 15.00 tested, but will most likely be sticky.
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.