Free Trial

ZAR: Rand Extends Gains, Hits New One-Year Highs

ZAR

Spot USD/ZAR goes offered for the tenth consecutive trading session, with broader greenback weakness helping facilitate the move. This has allowed the pair to print fresh one-year lows. The pair last deals at 17.7917, around 820 pips lower on the day, with bears now looking for a move towards Jul 27, 2023 low of 17.4193. On the flip side, bulls initially set their sights on the 50-EMA intersecting at 18.2757.

  • SAGB yield curve has shifted a tad lower, with South Africa's 10-year breakeven inflation rate last seen at 5.65%. The aggregate BBG Commodity Index is virtually unchanged on the day, but the precious metals subindex has firmed at the margin. However, gold changes hands ~$5.2/oz. lower.
  • Market participants look for the release of South Africa's July CPI this Wednesday, the only notable print expected this week. According to Bloomberg consensus, inflation may have slowed to +4.8% Y/Y from +5.1% prior, with core inflation expected to come in unchanged at +4.5% Y/Y. The SARB looks to anchor key inflation metrics at the +4.5% Y/Y mid-point of the target range and the next monetary policy meeting is slated for Sep 19, the day after the Fed's meeting.
  • Elsewhere, FOMC minutes and speeches during the Jackson Hole symposium will be eyed this week.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.