November 26, 2024 09:03 GMT
ZAR: Rand Weakens Amid Concerns Over Trump Tariffs
ZAR
Spot USD/ZAR last deals at 18.1400, around 800 pips above neutral levels. Bulls look for a clearance of Nov 14 high of 18.3951 followed by a move towards the 18.5 handle and Aug 5 high of 18.6850. Bears keep an eye on Nov 7 low of 17.2711.
- The rand has been hit by contagion from other EM markets after US President-elect Donald Trump vowed to slap additional tariffs on imports from China, Mexico and Canada as one of his first Executive Orders after taking office on January 20. There is a sense of concern that measures against China, South Africa's largest trading partner, could have indirect consequences for Pretoria. Furthermore, South Africa could also eventually fall prey of the Trump administration's protectionist policies.
- SAGBs have weakened across the curve, with South Africa's 10-year breakeven inflation rate ticking higher to 5.21% (while staying close to recent cyclical lows). The National Treasury holds a regular bond auction today.
- The BBG Commodity Index is barely changed on the day, while the precious metals subindex has shed 0.1%.
- South Africa's leading indicator improved to 113.9 in September from 112.8 prior.
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