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ZAR Trims Gains Vs G10 Crosses As Traders Tentatively Take Profit

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades -0.23% lower this morning, bucking early upside pressure in the BBDXY.
  • The cross rose +0.93% yesterday as USD strength returned and traders cautiously took profit on ZAR longs against G10 crosses.
  • Notably GBP/ZAR found support at 19.00 and the bull channel base with the cross in oversold territory after. Feb trade balance data saw a significant miss at +10.6bn vs 21.9bn exp, adding to ZAR weakness.
  • Economists have welcomed Govt moves to offset the rise in fuel prices with a cut to the levy, but will continue to keep an eye on energy prices after Putin pledged to cut the West off unless it paid in RUB.
  • The introduction of Eskom’s 9.5% tariff increase will no doubt be inflationary, but has been expected for a few months since the NERSA judgement to reduce its bid for a 20.5% increase.
  • Manufacturing PMIs are expected to soften slightly to 58.3 vs 58.6 prior, but the big ticket events will be Ukraine talks and US NFPs as markets eye potential for +50bp hikes from the Fed.
  • ZAR continues to trade in line with USD movements and global risk sentiment. Intraday Sup1: 14.5265, Sup2: 14.4848, Res1: 14.6466, Res2: 14.7261
  • GBPZAR


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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