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ZEW Expectations Slide in May

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY MAY ZEW CURRENT SITUATION -34.8 (FCST -37); APR -32.5

GERMANY MAY ZEW EXPECTATIONS -10.7 (FCST -5); APR 4.1

  • The ZEW survey of deteriorated for a third consecutive month in May, with the expectations index falling a marked 14.8 points -10.7, outpacing consensus expectations of an approx. nine-point slide.
  • ZEW expectations re-entered negative territory for the first time since December 2022, implying German financial market experts expect a worsening of economic conditions over the next six months, with a mild recession again on the table.
  • Higher interest rates and a potential US default were flagged as key concerns.
  • The ZEW German current sentiment index also faltered in May, declining 2.3 points to -34.8, albeit proving more robust than consensus expectations.
  • The IFO index due next week will give more colour as to whether German sentiment is weakening outside the financial sector.

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