Free Trial
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
FRANCE
The last opinion polls to be carried out ahead of the 24 April run-off election between President Emmanuel Macron and right-wing Rassembelement National leader Marine Le Pen continue to show the incumbent widening the gap between he and Le Pen in the last stages of the campaign.
- OpinionWay poll: Macron (EC-RE): 57% (+1), Le Pen (RN-ID): 43% (-1). (+/- vs. 19-21 April 2022). Fieldwork: 20-22 April 2022. Sample size: 2,329
- YouGov/Datapraxis: Emmanuel Macron: 56% (+2), Marine Le Pen: 44% (-2), Chgs w/ 12-14 Apr, Fieldwork 19-21 Apr. Sample: 1,801
- Key factor in the vote is the decision of those who supported far-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon in the first round. Accounting for 22% of first round voters, this cohort is the 'kingmaker' in the final vote. YouGov poll showing them breaking 2:1 in Macron's favour, a decisive proportion.
Chart 1. Poll-Who Melenchon Voters are Backing in Run-Off, %
Source: YouGov/Datapraxis. 19-21 Apr. Sample: 470 registered 1st round Melenchon voters.
- The process for the French election on Sunday is the same as it was for the 1st round: polls open at 0800CET, most close at 1900CET with some closing at 2000CET. At 2000CET (1400ET, 1900BST), a ‘snapshot poll’ is published. Unlike normal exit poll, this isn’t done by asking people at polling stations how they voted, but is a small subsample of the actual election results-therefore usually very accurate.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
We are facing technical issues, please contact our team.
ok
Your request was sent sucessfully! Our team will contact you soon.
ok