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Yen Finds Poise

JPY

Demand for traditional safe havens aided the yen on Monday, dragging USD/JPY lower despite general greenback strength. Sentiment worsened as China's mass testing drive in swathes of Beijing raised fears of a potential lockdown in the Chinese capital, with the megacity of Shanghai still under strict virus countermeasures. The rate moved away from intraday lows in NY hours amid recovery in U.S. equity benchmarks.

  • Yen buying has resumed this morning, with USD/JPY last seen at Y128.02, down 11 pips on the day. Bearish technical focus falls on Apr 19 low of Y126.98, while bulls set their sights on Apr 20 high/0.764 proj of the Feb 24 - Mar 28 - 31 price swing at Y129.40/44.
  • Worth noting that USD/JPY implied volatilities moved higher on Monday, with 1-week tenor extending gains to a one-month high this morning. This comes ahead of the BoJ's policy announcement slated for Thursday, even as the central bank is expected to stand pat on its main policy parameters.
  • Besides the BoJ's meet, focus turns to jobs data (today) as well as retail sales & flash industrial output (Thursday). Japanese financial markets will be closed on Friday, in observance of the Showa Day holiday.

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